Wednesday, November 5, 2008
It’s Over — Obama in a Landslide
Posted by Clancy DuBos on Wed, Nov 5, 2008 at 12:07 AM
A friend of mine who is wired in at the highest levels to the Democratic Party called me at 5:45 p.m. today (Tuesday, Nov. 4, Obama Day) to give me the results of exit polls from key battleground states and some other larger states. If these exit poll numbers are anything like the final returns from those states — and I must caution that exit polls have a higher margin of error than “regular” polls — the race for president is going to be a landslide for Sen. Barack Obama.
Below are the percentages of the vote from the states my friend gave me. In some instances, he was only able to give me the leader’s numbers, but in those cases that’s all one needs to figure out who’s winning.
Pennsylvania — Obama 66, McCain 34
Massachusetts — Obama 67, McCain 33
North Carolina — Obama 56
New York — Obama 75
New Jersey — Obama 53
Florida — Obama 53
New Hampshire — Obama 64
Ohio — Obama 58
Missouri — Obama 57
Indiana — Obama 56
Georgia — TIED at 49 each
South Carolina — McCain 50, Obama 49
Arkansas — TIED at 45 each
Virginia — Obama 64
As you can see, Obama is winning all the battleground states from which exit poll numbers are available, plus some traditionally Republican strongholds such as Indiana and Missouri. Again, I caution that exit polls can have large margins of error. But, these results are one-sided enough to portend a huge Obama win.
The local elections, I suspect, will be much closer. I’ll be on WWL-TV with Dr. Renwick starting at 6:55 p.m. We will do five-minute “cut-ins” from CBS at 25 minutes and 55 minutes after each hour — plus “wall to wall” coverage on WULP (Ch. 2 on Cox). End of shameless plug.
And just because the presidential race looks like a runaway, that’s no excuse for not voting if you haven’t done so yet. If you’re in line at 8 p.m., you’ll get to vote. We have some very important races on the local ballot, so get out there and celebrate your freedom.
More later.
Comments (2)
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Classic exit poll data. This time it was right in the picture but yikes 56% in NC?
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Yeah, that NC projection stopped me and Dr. Renwick in our tracks -- along with the similarly lopsided projection in Missouri, which turned out to be wrong (it went for McCain). Overall, however, the exit polls were correct in 12 of 14 states and it was indeed an Electoral College landslide for Obama.
