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Inside Jeff Parish
By
Jeff Crouere
Vitter Strong, but Jefferson
Vulnerable
On Nov. 5, the candidates
for the U.S. Congress will face off across the nation. With the political parties
so evenly divided in Washington, many of these contests are generating interest
and excitement; however, with the exception of the race to succeed John Cooksey
in the 5th Congressional District, that is not the case in Louisiana. In the
5th District, former Congressman Clyde Holloway has been leading in the polls.
Last week, Holloway announced that he picked up the endorsement of former New
Orleans-area Congressman Bob Livingston. The race should generate a high turnout
and, with multiple candidates in the race, produce a December run-off.
In metropolitan New Orleans, the races for
the 1st and 2nd Congressional Districts have not generated much excitement so
far. In the 1st District, incumbent David Vitter has a large war chest with
more than $1 million in cash on hand, and a large lead in the polls. One of
his opponents, radio talk show host Robert Namer, has been promising for months
to drop a bombshell on his opponent, but has not yet provided any damaging revelations
about Vitter. He told a recent gathering of the Kenner-based good government
group Jefferson Alliance that he would produce a major story next weekend. The
Jefferson Alliance was not impressed and summarily endorsed David Vitter.
In the 2nd Congressional District, incumbent
Bill Jefferson is more vulnerable to a challenge from Public Service Commissioner
Irma Muse Dixon. Jefferson has been hurt by his involvement in the Pennington
for Mayor campaign and his daughter's losing race for state representative.
Jefferson faced Gov. Mike Foster for Governor in 1999 and Foster is now returning
the favor by endorsing and raising money for Dixon, with whom the governor cites
a long personal relationship. Dixon is beginning to be viewed as a serious threat
to Jefferson, and she gained even more momentum when, at its meeting, the Jefferson
Alliance decided to endorse her. The only other major candidate in the race,
Troy Carter, has shown no signs of mounting any sort of race. Jefferson was
endorsed by the Jefferson Parish Democratic Executive Committee for re-election.
With no candidate in the 1st Congressional District race, the Jefferson Parish
Democratic Executive Committee made no endorsement.
Treen on the Road
Buoyed by polls that show
him second in the race behind only Lt. Gov. Kathleen Blanco, Dave Treen confirmed
his serious interest and intent to run for Governor. At a recent Republican
forum in Mandeville, Treen indicated that he would soon be traveling across
Louisiana to present his platform. According to Treen, "The only way I will
not run will be if the voters reject my ideas on fiscal matters." Treen has
not yet announced his platform but hints that it could involve tough medicine
for the state.
While Treen prepares to travel the state,
state Sen. Ken Hollis has now begun his advertising campaign with billboards
across the state. Joining Hollis in an early advertising campaign is Democrat
Claude "Buddy" Leach of Lake Charles. Leach has hired former Foster consultant
Roy Fletcher and even launched his campaign for governor with a glitzy Internet
announcement. Leach will have the deepest pockets of any of the gubernatorial
candidates, promising to spend multiple millions of his own money to win the
race. The last time a wealthy guy self-financed his own campaign for governor
it worked out pretty well, so Leach is hoping the same formula works for him.
Leading Landrieu Ducks Debates
With her own poll showing her leading her major Republican opponents by almost
40 points, incumbent U.S. Sen. Mary Landrieu has little incentive to appear
at forums and debates scheduled throughout the state. Several of them have been
held -- the Baton Rouge Press Club, the Jefferson Crimefighters, and the Jefferson
Alliance to name a few -- and Landrieu has avoided them all. In the weeks leading
to Nov. 5, however, she is scheduled to appear on several televised debates.
Most Republicans still believe that Landrieu
is vulnerable because of her support of Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle,
but that connection has not yet hurt her in Louisiana. The Landrieu poll showed
the incumbent at 54 percent, Congressman John Cooksey at 19 percent, Elections
Commissioner Suzanne Haik Terrell at 14 percent and State Rep. Tony Perkins
at 6 percent. As expected, the Jefferson Parish Democratic Executive Committee
has endorsed Mary Landrieu for re-election.

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